Is a Conservative majority coming to Parliament?

Stephan Harper at a rally in 2008. Side Note- Having kids hold up signs that address issues much beyond their age is so stupid and only acts as a way to fill crowds. If you were to ask that kid "How are we stronger with Harper?", he would probably pick his nose and say "I uno. My mommy says he's the bee's knees." Idiots. End rant.

Well, this is no shocker at all. The Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Policy (LISPOP) has predicted in their recent seat projections that the Conservative Party is 3 seats away from having a majority government. This is largely due to gains in Ontario, specifically the '905' area of Toronto. The projections are as follows:

Conservatives: 152 Seats

Libeals: 73 Seats

NDP: 30 Seats

Bloc: 52 Seats

(See this link for more info http://www.wlu.ca/lispop/feature20110215.html?p=99)

When compared to the 2008 Federal Election results, the Tories are poised to gain approx. 10 seats while the Liberals are about to lose approx. 4 and the NDP approx. 7. The Bloc seems to be remaining constant as they are only active in Quebec. Personally, I'd like to for the Bloc to dissolve. A lot of what they preach and fight for will never EVER happen. Frankly, I think its a waste of seats. It would be very interesting to see how seats/votes would be distributed across the other three parties if the Bloc was no longer around. My own personal prediction is that the voters would be split between the Liberals and the Conservatives. The Tories have worked hard to make up ground in Quebec over the past few elections. Of course, there is always the "Trudeau" factor in Quebec so maybe this could swing voters towards the Liberals. As it stands now, however, the Tories are in second place behind the Bloc in Quebec. This is probably due to the Liberal blunders over the past few years and their lack of leadership (or anything really).

I think its interesting that the Tories have made significant ground in the '905' region because this area is largely made up of immigrants and is very multicultural. Traditionally, ethnics would vote for the Liberal party or the NDP. This just goes to show that the Conservatives have made positive gains in the area over the past few years while persuading ethnics that the Conservatives are here to make Canada a better place for them and their families. The Liberal party has tried to keep up but I don't know if they even have a solid platform right now. It seems like all they are saying is that "Harper bad. Liberal good. Vote Liberal." I'm not being biased since, as I have said before, I consider myself a fairly liberal person - it is just what I have observed especially over the past few weeks. Therefore, the Tories have done much better job of getting their message to Canadians over the two years that they have been in power.

Is a Conservative majority a good thing? No, it is not. I worry that the policies Harper and his government wanted to implement over the past two years but couldn't due to their minority rule will be coming to fruition such as a closer relationship with the US. We are already hearing talks of a security perimeter around the boarder of Canada and the US which I think is stupid because we're basically giving control of our security to the Americans. Also, Obama has been working very closely with Harper over the past few months so who knows what may be coming down the pipeline. Whatever it may be, I hope it benefits all Canadians and not just Stephan Harper.